When lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his second title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days ahead of the series, the UFC had options galore.
You see, in the same way the featherweight kingpin will inform you, any card headlined by the Dubliner will be a money-making bonanza. The marketing first offered the struggle to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but answered the telephone.
Edgar had been dealing with a groin injury that had prevented him from coaching for the many months, while Aldo’s trainer said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to select the fight on such short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was just one fighter volunteering his services, joining the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn wanted a shot McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than prepared when contacted by the UFC. Dana White let the rumors to hang in the air for several hours before determining that the attention from fans was highest for a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had informed the UFC he would fight anybody on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp suggested that getting down to 155 on short notice was too much, the UFC countered with a catchweight offer of 160 pounds. Diaz countered with 165.
Whenever the UFC known as’The Notorious, »’ he said let’s just take action at 170. Therefore, tonight’s key event for UFC 196 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Ad Most books opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at approximately -300, but the chances have become more expensive with every passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most places had McGregor preferred from the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was around +380 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at combat day, most spots have McGregor in -500 or higher. The very best payout for Diaz overseas is in 5Dimes, which has him +425.
The total for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165’over’). For all those gamblers wanting to shave off some of the’chalk’ yet back McGregor, the prop for him to win inside the distance does not offer you much help (-278 in 5Dimes).
If you want to take McGregor’s advice that he’ll dust Diaz from the opening round, that brace provides a +170 yield. If you think the pride of Ireland will make rapid work of Diaz, much like his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there’s a prop at 5Dimes the battle will not go 1:01 that offers a lucrative +550 yield.
For McGregor to acquire by TKO/KO (in any form ), the cost is -275 (danger $275 to win $100). We ought to notice that Diaz has never been finished in the first round in 28 professional spells.
In fact, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has only been finished twice. He had been filed by Hermes Franca at WEC 24 at the next round, and the 209 product endured his sole career TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson at the second round of the April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel.)
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