Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).
In accordance with gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using 2018 loop data and historical results, we handicap the race and give a championship pick.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Busch (2015), » Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one championship in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his original.
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It is not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as »The Big Three » combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this season. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 top-10 finishes to earn his shot.
Using historic loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to acquire the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there really are not any others on the circuit like it.
Homestead delivers banking, which allows drivers to run many lines, with the top lane the quickest.
The track surface itself is also very abrasive, and which makes rubberized a huge advantage and wears out tires quickly.
With tire wear making cars challenging to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to choose different lines, passing is simpler here than at most other 1.5-mile tracks that are too reliant on aero for speed and so make follow-the-leader racing.
For the analysis below, I chose to analyze the four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.
Applying four races may seem a little random, but that number was chose by me for two reasons. To begin with, 2014 was the first year that NASCAR went to the current playoff format where drivers progress through the game’s playoff until four remain to race to the title at Homestead.
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